The XRP Forecast
Wednesday, July 29, 2026 · Nightly since July 2026 · Every forecast graded
Your editionThe full desk, nothing hidden

accountability, pointed at ourselves

Track record — every band, graded nightly.

A 68% band is only honest if it catches ~68% of closes. We publish that number instead of asking you to trust us. No influencer will ever show you this page about their own calls. Tonight's grade card ↗

Backtest calibration (walk-forward, no peeking)

HorizonDays graded68% band caught95% band caught
1 day49770.6%98.0%
7 days49173.1%98.2%

Walk-forward: each historical day's bands were built only from data available before that day, then checked against what actually printed. Targets: 68% and 95%. Close is honest; drift means recalibrate — and we'll say so here.

Live record (graded since launch)

11 graded · 68% band caught 81.8% · 95% band caught 100.0%

DateSpot68% bandActual closeInside?
2026-07-281.06631.0371.0971.069068%
2026-07-271.11341.0831.1461.066195%
2026-07-261.09881.0691.1301.113168%
2026-07-251.09231.0621.1241.097768%
2026-07-241.10641.0761.1391.091968%
2026-07-231.14281.1121.1761.107795%
2026-07-221.14231.1111.1761.142168%
2026-07-211.11251.0821.1451.143668%
2026-07-201.09981.0701.1321.112468%
2026-07-191.09361.0641.1251.097868%
2026-07-181.08781.0581.1191.092968%

The XRP Forecast publishes probability, not advice. Every figure is measured from the market's own record, published before the fact, and graded after — wrong sometimes, honest always. © 2026.